BEST ACTRESS
Updated: 5/23
Top Five Contenders
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| 1. Natalie Portman (Black Swan) | 2. Robin Wright (The Conspirator) | 3. Annette Bening (Mother and Child, The Kids are All Right) | 4. Diane Lane (Secretariat) | 5. Hiam Abbass (Miral) |
| Of the actresses on this list, I'm putting Portman in the frontrunner spot being a prior nominee and is therefore semi-due. But also because she's very much in her acting prime and is around the age of your typical lead actress winner. Plus Darron Aronofsky does a good job getting fine performances out of his actors. | She totally should have been nominated sixteen years ago for Forrest Gump or for one of several other fine performances. I think it's time for her to get her long overdue nomination for this Lincoln assassination historical court drama. Plus I think finally separating herself from the ego of Penn can only help her acting talent. | Bening is one of the most Oscar overdue actresses but her last several films keep getting worse. She has two big options this year so her odds of being nominated for one or the other are pretty good. I'd rather bet on Mother and Child since that's more of a showcase for her one and only as opposed to an ensemble film. | It was a relief to many when she finally got her first nomination eight years ago for Unfaithful. She could get her second nomination for this feel good summer film. She looked pretty good in the trailer, but her odds will likely come down to the film's reviews. I'm not betting highly on those reviews. | Even though I didn't like the film, she was pretty good in The Visitor a couple of years ago. There has to be some actress that is essentially a no-name getting her first nomination, and I think this year Abbass has the best odds of that for this Julian Schnabel film about a 1948 Jerusalem orphanage. |
Close Behind
| 6. Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine, Meek's Cutoff) | 7. Helen Mirren (The Tempest, Love Ranch, The Debt, Brighton Rock) | 8. Jennifer Lawrence (Winter's Bone) | 9. Gemma Arterton (Tamara Drewe) | 10. Julia Roberts (Eat Pray Love) |
| I think Williams deserved to win for Brokeback Mountain. Nonetheless, it's possible she could win for one of her two films this year. I'm betting more on Blue Valentine which just got great reviews at Cannes and got her some good acclaim. | Mirren has five films this year, four with promising performances, two of which are holdovers from last year's Oscar race. She's got to get nominated for something right? Unless this will be the first ever example of quadruble vote splitting. | This is another unknown actress that could be the unknown nominee of the year. Her odds are good because she's gotten great reviews in early screenings for this film. She's also quite young but young actress nominees aren't uncommon. | Here's a prediction I came up with, so I'm putting a patent on it. Arterton is getting exposure this year for her blockbusters Clash of the Titans and Prince of Persia, and overexposure often helps propel someone to an Oscar nomination. | Roberts' stardom has kind of been fading this decade, but here's an opportunity for her to comeback with another Oscar nomination. It's an acclaimed book, but her odds might be dependent on the film's reviews, which could go either way. |
My Original Predix
| Portman | Wright | Benning | Lane | Abbass |